2012 HOUSING TRENDS

Housing trendsThe National real estate market continues to maintain steady growth and appreciation, as evidenced by the latest Case-Shiller Index, which showed steady increases in month over month home prices, across 20 major metropolitan areas. Since the beginning of 2012, the indexes have risen 3.5%, a sign that the bottom of the market may indeed be behind us. What is even more encouraging is the year over year appreciation, as noted by the index, posting the first positive numbers since the end of the home buyer’s tax credit of 2010.

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As the housing market gains strength, the inventory of both new and existing homes has dwindled. Motivated buyers are moving off the fence to take advantage of the historically low rates and adjusted prices. Because of this, multiple offer situations have become increasingly common and have intensified the market. The strong sales activity has triggered prices to rise in the more affordable and mid price ranges as well as the higher price ranges near job centers; signaling a flip in the market.

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Initiated by the elevated number of residential investors and local home buyers gaining confidence and reentering the market, the Northwest housing market has seen a

Another market trend we have observed is the increase in the use of mobile technology among both buyers and sellers. The John L. Scott mobile app gives buyers an extra edge when searching for a home and gives sellers targeted exposure to quickly and successfully sell their home.surge of buyers.

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These indicators show that moving into 2013 we will likely see a continuing of the fundamental strengthening of the local real estate market.

 

Home Prices Rebound to 2003 Levels

94983086More great market news came through yesterday: According to S&P/Case-Shiller, in July, the average home price rose to the same level as those seen during summer 2003, when the housing boom first started its journey toward the 2006 peak. While this may not signify that we are currently standing on the cusp of a market boom, it does show a significant turnaround, and perhaps hints at a definite end to real estate’s bleak streak.

The recent S&P/Case-Shiller national home price index showed that in July, prices increased by 1.5 percent for the 10-City Composite and by 1.6 percent for the 20-City Composite.

This improvement marks the third straight month that prices rose in all 20 major markets followed by the index—which covers more than 80 percent of the U.S. housing market. Additionally, numbers show that if not for a .06 decline in Detroit in April, there would have been a four month improvement streak.

When compared to a year earlier, the index proved to be up 1.2 percent, an improvement from the year-over-year change reported for June. This marked the first month that prices were higher than they were the previous year.

“The news on home prices in this report confirm recent good news about housing,” said David Blitzer, chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices, in a recent release.

“Single family housing starts are well ahead of last year’s pace, existing home sales are up, the inventory of homes for sale is down and foreclosure activity is slowing. All in all, we are more optimistic about housing. Upbeat trends continue. For the third time in a row, all 20 cities and both Composites had monthly gains. Stronger housing numbers are a positive factor for other measures including consumer confidence.”

Real estate professionals located outside of the top metros are seeing movement inside their markets, too.

“We’ve been seeing a strengthening market for some time now but August sales are evidence of a major turning point,” says Jamie Moore, president of the Rhode Island Association of REALTORS®. “We may still experience a step or two backward in the months ahead but the forward momentum has clearly become more evident. The market is much stronger than it has been.”

And Dorothy Martwick, Broker/Owner of Century 21 Action REALTORS® in Minot, N.D., comments on her unique market, which never saw much of a real estate recession due to the oil boom in western N.D. and their proximity to the Minot Air Force Base.

“My opinion of the future of real estate here in Western N.D. is that the market will level off and stabilize in the near future and, depending on the national election results and the oil pipeline, capabilities may either stay level or boom again next year and for the next several years. “

“Overall, we’re thrilled to see hard evidence that the market is recovering. Great pricing and low interest rates have really helped turn things around,” says Rhode Island’s Moore.

To view the complete home price index, click here

source: RISMedia

Shadow Inventory Threat Lessens

83312674The shadow inventory of troubled mortgages and foreclosed homes saw a 1.2 million decrease in the first half of the year, according to research conducted by JPMorgan Chase.

Chase researchers expect that progress to double before the year’s end, too. That would then bring the shadow inventory to more than 4 million, which is down from the 6 million peak reached in 2010.

A rising number of short sales has allowed more banks to clear the shadow inventory that has threatened the housing market’s recovery, according to the research. Banks also have been increasing loan modifications.

Shadow inventory is known for creating uncertainty in the housing market. In calculating the shadow inventory, Chase researchers include trouble mortgages that haven’t been paid in at least 60 days.

"Although re-defaults and new delinquencies will continue to keep shadow inventory elevated, the rapid decline should prevent downward pressure on home prices going into 2013," according to Chase analysts. "Combined with better existing home sales, investors have reason to be optimistic about running recovery scenarios."

Chase analysts say that if home prices rise 10 percent, the current number of 10.8 underwater borrowers could then decrease to 9 million.

Source: “Shadow Inventory Declines by 1.2 Million in 2012,” HousingWire

Sizing Up The American Dream

The-American-DreamIn a nation as diverse as the United States, the idea of "the American dream" means different things to different people. Many associate the dream with intangible ideals like freedom of expression, freedom of religion, optimism and family ties. But the American dream has also long been associated with attaining a higher standard of living, particularly one that surpasses that of the previous generation.

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Click image for larger view.

 

source: NPR

5 Reasons to Sell Now

1-2-3-4-5-fingers-on-handMany sellers feel that the Spring is the best time to place their home on the market as buyer demand increases at that time of year. However, the Fall and Winter have their own advantages. Here are five reasons to to sell now.

Only Serious Buyers Are Out

At this time of year, only those purchasers who are serious about buying a home will be in the marketplace. You and your family will not be bothered and inconvenienced by mere ‘lookers’. The lookers are at the mall or online doing their holiday shopping.

There Is Far Less Competition

Housing supply always shrinks dramatically at this time of year. This year will be a little different as some of the distressed properties being liquidated by the banks (in the form of foreclosures & short sales) will enter the market. However, for those buyers looking for a non-distressed property, the choices will be limited. Don’t wait until the spring when all the other potential sellers in your market will put their homes up for sale.

The Process Will Be Quicker

One of the biggest challenges of the 2012 housing market has been the length of time it takes from contract to closing. Banks have been inundated with both purchase and refinancing loan requests. Both of these will slow in the winter cutting timelines and the frustration these delays cause both buyers and sellers.

There Will Never Be a Better Time to Move-Up

If you are moving up to a larger, more expensive home, consider doing it now. Prices are projected to appreciate by over 15% from now to 2016. If you are moving to a higher priced home, it will wind-up costing you more in raw dollars (both in down payment and mortgage payment) if you wait. You can also lock-in your 30 year housing expense with historically low interest rates right now. There is no guarantee rates will remain at these levels in years to come.

It’s Time to Move On with Your Life

Look at the reason you decided to sell in the first place and decide whether it is worth waiting. Is money more important than being with family? Is money more important than your health? Is money more important than having the freedom to go on with your life the way you think you should?

You already know the answers to the questions we just asked. You have the power to take back control of the situation by pricing your home to guarantee it sells. The time has come for you and your family to move on and start living the life you desire. That is what is truly important.

by THE KCM CREW on SEPTEMBER 24, 2012

Study: Housing Shortage Looms for Low-Income Families

housing-shortageLow-income households face a potential housing shortage that could lead to a large rise in homelessness, warns a new report by the Institute for Children, Poverty, and Homelessness.

The study shows that there are 5.4 million housing units available for rent to a family of three at the federal poverty line of $18,310. However, there are more than double the number of households below the poverty line (10.9 million).

The shortage in housing has led to a 20 percent rise in family homelessness from 2007 to 2010, according to the ICPH report, “A Home by Any Other Name: Enhancing Shelters Addresses the Gap in Low-Income Housing.” 

The ICPH blames the rising cost of rental units and a decline in the number of public housing projects for the shortage in affordable residences.

"It is clear that the number of affordable rental units has not changed in three decades as the number of people who need affordable housing has skyrocketed," says Matthew Adams, ICPH’s principal policy analyst. "This gap is unsustainable.”

Americans who earn the minimum wage cannot afford fair market value of rent for at two-bedroom apartment, according to the report. What’s more, the amount of federal dollars that is spent on housing programs for low-income households has dropped 20 percent since 1995 and is at a record low. 

Source: “Homeless Face Unprecedented, Overwhelming Housing Shortage,” Realty Times (Sept. 20, 2012)

A Good Week for Housing

monopoly-houseThe housing recovery showed signs of strengthening this week, as two new reports showed home sales and prices on the upswing.

Existing-home sales have soared nearly 8 percent from a year ago, the National Association of REALTORS® reported this week. Meanwhile, the new-home market also is showing signs of recovery, with starts rising 29.1 percent over year-ago levels, according to the Census Bureau.

What’s more, home builders are getting more confident about the market with recent sales, future sales, and buyer traffic. Homebuilder confidence reached its highest level since the housing-boom time of June 2006, according to this month’s index of homebuilder sentiment.

Also this week, fixed-rate mortgages this week were at all-time record lows or near it, helping to keep home buyer affordability high, Freddie Mac reported in its weekly mortgage market survey.

With a drop in inventory of for-sale homes nationwide, many markets are also seeing an increase in home prices. The median home price is $187,400, a 9.5 percent increase over year-ago levels. Also, “that marked the sixth consecutive month of price increases, the first time that has happened since May 2006, near the very peak of the housing price boom,” CNNMoney reports.

“We have a real housing recovery taking root, and that has positive implications for the broader economy,” Sal Guatieri, senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, told the Associated Press. “If home prices continue to rise, so, too, will household wealth and consumer confidence.”

Source: “Housing Recovery Blossoms,” CNNMoney (Sept. 19, 2012) and “Housing Recovery Stirs in August,” Associated Press (Sept. 19, 2012)

Design details outweigh square footage

video_imageArchitect Sarah Susanka talks about her “not so big” house design motto. According to Susanka, households looking to build or remodel a home should not focus on square footage as the main goal. Susanka recommends maximizing the available budget by allocating some of those dollars toward aesthetic details. Paying for more square footage just to have larger rooms does not always pay off. Thoughtfully replace unnecessary space with design elements that will give the house longevity. Watch the video for more details.

Homebuilding Bounces Back in August

New-ConstructionHomebuilding for single-family homes was at its fastest pace in more than two years during August, as the new-home market continues on in recovery mode.

The Commerce Department reported Wednesday that single-family housing starts soared 5.5 percent, marking the best pace since April 2010. Construction of homes and apartments increased 2.3 percent in August from July.

Overall, home construction has jumped nearly 60 percent since April 2009, when it hit a recessionary low, the Commerce Department reports. Still, the sector is only at half the pace that most economists consider healthy.

Apartment construction has been a volatile part of the market in recent years and construction dropped nearly 5 percent in August.

Housing starts — for both homes and apartments — rose the most in the Midwest, which saw a 20.7 percent monthly increase in construction. Home construction also increased 3.7 percent in the South, but dropped 12.6 percent in the Northeast and 4.3 percent in the West.

Building permits, a gauge of future construction, dropped to an annual rate of 803,000, down from a four-year high of 811,000 in July.

Source: “U.S. Housing Starts Rose 2.3 Percent in August, Buoyed by Single-Family Construction,” Associated Press (Sept. 19, 2012)