Housing Market Lifts Off From the ‘Bottom’

off the bottomRecent housing indexes have shown single-family home prices are on the rise, providing more evidence that the “bottom” of the market is already behind.

"We’re wiping out just about all of the decline,” Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economic Advisors, told NBC.com about recent housing data showing home prices inching up. “It indicates the market has turned the corner on the pricing side.”

Some recent housing indexes suggest that the “bottom” of the market was reached in January 2012. Since that time, housing prices have been picking up in many housing markets.

But "the turnaround in home prices was unexpected," says Patrick Newport, an economist with IHS Global Insight. "The conventional wisdom in February, following that landmark agreement [of the $26 billion mortgage settlement with the nation’s five largest banks], was that we would see a surge in foreclosures of some size that would lead to lower home prices. This surge never materialized and home prices have turned.”

Newport points to several signs of a housing market on the mend. For one, housing starts are up, after reaching a low in the fourth quarter of 2011. Also, he says the FHFA monthly House Price Index shows a 3.7 percent increase in May year-over-year, which he notes is higher than inflation and “means that real housing wealth, a consumer spending driver, was also up.”

The increase in home prices is also leading to a fewer number of home owners who are underwater on their mortgages, owing more on their mortgage than their home is currently worth. The number of underwater home owners fell from 12.1 million at the end of 2011 to 11.4 million at the end of the first quarter this year, according to CoreLogic data.

Source: “Evidence Mounts that Home Prices Hit Bottom Last Winter,” NBC News

How Banks Make Money From Home Loans

frac

How Banks Make Money From Home Loans is explained right here in this infographic from Tomorrow Finance. We are even given the outstanding figure of $13.4 trillion of outstanding mortgage debt.

Fractional Reserve Banking refers to a banking system which requires the commercial banks to keep only a portion of the money deposited with them as reserves. The bank pays interest on all deposits made by its customers and uses the deposited money to make new loans.

This design does a good job of showing the audience the scale of the amount of money involved.  Each $100 stack of bills is carefully used to visualize the amount of money being used in the explanation, and it makes a bigger impact by making it visual.

The designer here did a really good job of telling a simple, focused story in the the infographic that is quick and easy for readers to understand.

banks-money-home-loans

Poll: Homeownership is the American Dream

homedreamOwning a home remains a vital component of the American Dream, according to a recent Home Buyer poll conducted by TD Bank, America’s Most Convenient Bank®.

Below are some interesting statistics and an infographic exploring the survey results and U.S. homeownership aspirations.

• 59 percent of respondents say owning a home is vital in defining the American Dream
• The majority of today’s younger renters (18-34) intend to buy a home (84 percent)
• When describing how they felt when they first purchased a home, 56 percent said excited
• 24 percent intend to sell their current home and buy up in the future

TD_Bank_Graphic

Same price major difference in cost

mortgage-ratesWith all the talk about housing prices, here’s a simple look at what has happened to housing cost. The cost to buy/own the same house has become substantially more affordable.

 Same price, major difference in cost

American Renters Getting Squeezed

rentsRents continue to inch upwards and many renters say they know it would be cheaper to buy a home than rent, but they can’t qualify for a mortgage, Reuters News reports.

With rising demand for rentals, landlords are increasing their rents and some cities are even posting double-digit percentage rental increases annually. Apartment rents have risen at their highest rate since 2007, with costs soaring over the last three quarters, according to the research firm Reis Inc.

Landlords feel they can charge more since vacancies have reached at a 10-year low at the same time that demand has surged. Asking rents have jumped nationally to $1,091 during the second quarter, the largest increase since the third quarter of 2007, Reis reports. The average effective rent is $1,041 for the second quarter, increasing 1.3 percent over the previous quarter.

"The improvement in rents is pretty pervasive," says Ryan Severino, a Reis senior economist. "Even in places like Providence and Knoxville, which you don’t think of as hotbeds for apartment activity, landlords felt the market was strong enough to raise rents on their tenants."

New York remains the market with the lowest number of vacancies and also the priciest place to rent by far. The monthly rent there averages $2,935, which is more than $1,000 higher than the second-priciest place to rent in the U.S., San Francisco.

Many finance experts recommend budgeting no more than 30 percent of household income to pay for housing costs. Yet nearly 40 percent of Americans are now paying more than a third, according to a U.S. Census Bureau survey. In New York, one-third of households spend more than half their pay on rent.

"We have falling incomes, rising rents, and nothing but substantial upward pressure on those rents," says Chris Herbert, director of Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies. "And nothing in the cards suggests it will turn around anytime soon."

Meanwhile, for those who are able, purchasing a home has never been more affordable. It’s cheaper to purchase a home than rent in basically every major U.S. city, according to John Burns Real Estate Consulting.

But securing financing remains a renter’s biggest obstacle to buying a home. Banks are pickier in what they require to qualify for a mortgage. Loans for home purchases reached a 12-year low last year as lenders tightened their credit standards, according to Inside Mortgage Finance. Now, potential borrowers often need an average credit score of 762 to get a mortgage backed by mortgage giants Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae, according to Morgan Stanley research.

Source: “Americans Squeezed by Higher Rents, Tight Credit,” Reuters News and “U.S. Apartment Rents Rise at Highest Rate Since ’07,” Reuters News

Should you try to negotiate your apartment lease?

Shouldyoutrytonegotiateyourapartmentlease

Record low mortgage rates

mortgage-ratesThe latest Freddie Mac report shows all-time low mortgage rates, reports the Los Angeles Times. Lenders were offering 30-year fixed loans to credit-worthy buyers at 3.66% and the 15-year fixed mortgage at 2.94%, on average. Here are the specific figures for the week ending June 28, 2012.

Foreclosures were also down by 2% in the first quarter of this year as compared to the previous quarter, according to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Year-over-year, the rate fell by 8%. Overall, about 4.5% of all home loans were 60 days or more behind on payments, said the OCC, which is 10% lower than the previous quarter and 6% from one year ago.

Declining interest rates coupled with lower prices may encourage borrowers to purchase homes now rather than later, when the market begins to support higher sales prices. The National Association of Realtors expects the median existing-home price to rise 3% this year and another 5.7% in 2013.

The Cost of Owning a Home (Last 20 Years)

Cost-of-a-Home

Notes from the report: Prices and mortgage payments are based on the median existing single-family home price, averaged from quarterly data to obtain annual prices. Mortgage payments are calculated using the interest-rate average for that year and assume a 20% downpayment and fixed 30-year term. Rent is the median gross monthly rent from the 2010 American Community Survey, indexed using the CPI for rent of primary residence. Income is median household income.

Sources from the report: JCHS tabulations of National Association of Realtors®, Composite Affordability Index (NSA) and Existing Single-Family Home Sales via Moody’s Analytics; Freddie Mac, Primary Mortgage Market Survey; US Census Bureau, American Community Survey; Moody’s Analytics, median household income estimates.

[via]

Are Appraisers ‘Scared’ to Report Rising Prices?

ScaredReal estate professionals and mortgage loan officers say that appraisers seem to be reluctant to report price appreciation occurring in numerous spots across the nation, and it’s complicating sales transactions, The Real Deal reports.

Appraisal problems — where property valuations have come in lower than the agreed-upon sales price — have been an ongoing problem in derailing many real estate transactions the last few years. And despite reports of several markets seeing an increase in their home prices, many agents report that appraisals continue to be a sticking point.

Thirty-three percent of real estate professionals say they are continuing to face appraisal problems, according to a survey conducted by the National Association of REALTORS® in May.

Low appraisals “in markets that are no longer in decline is the single most important” valuation obstacle to “seeing a real recovery,” NAR President Moe Veissi says.

Appraisers may be being overly cautious, not wanting to be accused of potentially overvaluing properties, says Frank Gregoire, an appraiser based in St. Petersburg, Fla., and also a former chair of the Florida Real Estate Appraisal Board. Gregoire told The Real Deal that appraisers fear they may expose lenders to future lawsuits or high-cost “buy-back” demands by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

“Appraisers are scared to death” to report rising values, Joseph Petrowsky, owner of the mortgage company Right Trac Financial Group Inc. in Manchester, Conn., told The Real Deal. Petrowsky says the appraisals aren’t reflecting the pick-up in some markets, in which some properties have even seen bidding wars.

Dennis Smith, co-owner of Stratis Financial Corp., recalls a bidding war recently in which four buyer offers took the contract price from $350,000 to $375,000, but the appraisal valuation still came in lower the contract price.

Nevertheless, the Appraisal Institute insists that appraisers aren’t discounting price appreciation in markets. Appraisers have a professional duty to arrive at valuations that “reflect the market,” whether positive or negative, and also reflect the most recent data, says Sara W. Stephens, president of the Appraisal Institute.

Source: "Appraisers ‘Scared to Death’ to Report Rising Prices," The Real Deal