Single-Family Rental Boom to Take Toll on Neighborhoods?

home-for-rentMany former home owners displaced by foreclosure are being left with no other option but to rent. They’re increasingly turning to renting single-family homes, which is the fastest growing segment of the rental market from 2005 to 2010, according to Fannie Mae research.

Three million former home owners from the foreclosure crisis will likely rent single-family homes between 2010 and 2015, according to estimates by John Burns Real Estate Consulting.

"In the next five to 10 years, you’ll see tens of billions, if not hundreds of billions, of dollars of private equity" pouring into the single-family rental business, Justin Chang, principal of investment firm Colony Capital, told USA Today.

But some home owners are concerned about what the surge in renters will bring to their neighborhoods. Some home owners say that renters don’t tend to take care of the yards or home maintenance as well as home owners, they have more parked cars lining the streets, and they are more disconnected from their neighborhoods. Some home owners fear that more rentals coming into their neighborhoods will hurt home values too.

They may have reason for their concern: A study completed 10 years ago showed that a 10 percent increase in a neighborhood’s home ownership rate led to about a 3.6 percent increase to home values, according to a study by Edward Coulson, a Penn State University economist. Coulson’s preliminary data on newer research suggests that an increase in rentals to a neighborhood may slightly decrease home values. 

Some cities have taken steps to limit the number of the rentals. West St. Paul, Minn., and some other Minnesota communities, for example, have adopted laws to limit single-family home rentals to 10 percent of homes on a neighborhood block.

However, some critics argue that investor-owned rentals could help give some neighborhoods a much-needed lift. Some renters may do a better job at upkeeping homes than a distressed home owner, let alone a home that just sits vacant, they argue.

Source: “Home Rentals: The New American Dream?” USA Today

The tempo of our market continues to speed up

old-fashion-metronomeSales of homes in less than 30 days (contracts received), is a good indication of properties that are well presented, well priced and well marketed.

Here is the percentage of homes that sold in the first 30 days for the  greater Seattle area:

less than 30 days

  • January 25.24%
  • February 33.48%
  • March 37.18%
  • April 41.83%

Here is the percentage of homes that sold in the first 30 days for the Eastside:

30 days eastside

  • January30.1%
  • February41.51%
  • March42.64%
  • April48.25%

Foreclosure Inventory: Highest & Lowest States*

foreclosure

*as a percentage of all mortgaged homes

One in four homes sold in Q1 were distressed properties

House-Underwater

New data from RealtyTrac shows falling prices and increasing frequency of sales of distressed properties, with improving process times for aggressively priced short sales.

Short sales and foreclosures

According to RealtyTrac, one in four homes sold in the first quarter of 2012 were distressed properties, reaching 26 percent of all sales, up from 22 percent the previous quarter. RealtyTrac data also reveals that foreclosure homes sold for an average of $161,214, a 27 percent discount compared to non-distressed homes sold. Short sale homes accounted for 12 percent of all homes sold in the first quarter, for an average price of $175,461, the lowest level since RealtyTrac began tracking foreclosures seven years ago.

“Foreclosure-related sales picked up in the first quarter, particularly pre-foreclosure sales where a distressed homeowner is selling to avoid foreclosure — typically via short sale,” said Brandon Moore, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “Those pre-foreclosure sales hit a three-year high in the first quarter even as the average pre-foreclosure sales price dropped to a record low for our report.”

Moore continued, “Meanwhile the average price of a bank-owned home is stabilizing and even increasing in some areas where a slowdown in REO activity over the past year has resulted in a restricted supply of REO homes available. Still, REO sales did increase on a quarterly basis in 21 states, indicating that lenders are still working through a bottleneck of unsold REO inventory in many areas.”

Processing times, regional performance

During the first quarter, it took an average of 306 days to complete a short sale, and 370 days to process a foreclosure. “Lenders are approving more aggressively priced short sales, which in turn is resulting in more successful short sale transactions,” Moore said.

As short sales and foreclosure sales rose in the first quarters, REOs fell 15 percent over the year, accounting for only 14 percent of all sales during the period.

Nevada, where housing bubbled during the boom and sank during the bust, had more distressed property sales than any other state, followed by California and Georgia, RealtyTrac said.

Among the nation’s 20 largest metropolitan statistical areas, those with the biggest annual increases in pre-foreclosure sales were Atlanta (78 percent), Detroit (75 percent), San Antonio (74 percent), Sacramento (70 percent), and Dallas (69 percent).

Metro areas with the biggest annual increases in REO sales were Minneapolis (33 percent), Boston (30 percent), Philadelphia (22 percent), Atlanta (15 percent), and Chicago (13 percent).

via: Tara Steele

The Unspoken Appraisal Problem

10-things-youd-love-to-say-at-workAs lenders, buyers, sellers, and real estate agents, the big unknown after a deal is put together is the appraisal. A proper pre-approval can smooth out the other components of the mortgage approval (income, assets, and credit- even title issues can be uncovered before the contracts are signed), so the only “unknown” is the appraisal.

The spoken challenges:

  • An appraised value has always been loosely defined as “what a reasonable buyer would pay to a reasonable seller”, meaning that both sides were of sound mind and under no external pressure.  But in today’s environment of foreclosures and short sales, the whole concept of “reasonable” is muddled.  So, appraisers are challenged, through no fault of their own, in determining a home’s value because they can’t ignore the data and the distressed transactions, but should they be considered “reasonable”?

  • Add to it the prevalence of seller’s concessions today (wherein the seller agrees to pay the buyer’s closing costs) and the appraiser is faced with a further dilemma>  If the seller is willing to pay $10,000 of the buyer’s closing costs, doesn’t that mean that they believe the “reasonable” value of their home is less than the actual price? Many will argue that the seller’s merely looking to make their home more financially attractive to solicit more interest in it, creating more competition, and thereby securing the highest price for themselves.

So, appraisers are in a difficult position, for sure. But, there is a problem with appraisals today that goes beyond a property’s worth. It’s the unspoken challenge.

With the advent of post real estate bubble regulations (predominantly HVCC in terms of appraisals), most lenders order their appraisals through a third-party company. This company gives the appearance of independence- a company immune to the pressures of a loan officer or a real estate agent who might push a value too high. But, in fact, many of these Appraisal Management Companies are owned or controlled by the lenders themselves.  And these AMCs don’t actually do the appraising. In many cases, they subcontract the work out to actual appraisers, but only pay them a fraction of the monies collected.

So, appraisers, besides being under tremendous scrutiny, today have a tougher job and they are asked to work for less money. Is it surprising that they would be conservative in their evaluations? The bubble was not the appraisers fault. There were multiple reasonable buyers willing to pay the prices in 2006, and the values reported were valid at the time. The appraisers didn’t create outrageous underwriting guidelines that allowed too many unqualified buyers to bid on those homes.

Let’s get rid of HVCC and let the appraisers do their job; otherwise, home appraisers will not be showing appreciation in any real estate market.

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The science behind the short sale

A short sale is defined as a sale of real estate property where the proceeds fall short of the mortgage debt owed. While all short sales do not necessarily forgive borrowers’ deficiencies (the amount of the unpaid balance), they are often considered more favorable than foreclosures. How a lender determines whether a borrower qualifies in the first place is explained in this cdpe.com video.

Understanding the process from the start is critical, says Kay Maurer, short sale manager at Wells Fargo, reports MercuryNews.com. In a recent Silicon Valley Association of Realtors meeting, Maurer recommended these steps:

[pb_vidembed title=”” caption=”” url=”http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49sS88Cbsc8″ type=”yt” w=”600″ h=”337″]

  • Determine qualification for government programs (HARP, HAMP, HAFA).
  • Understand that short sales are processed on a first come, first served basis. Submit complete and legible paperwork. If the lender finds an error, the file is returned to the client, who has 72 hours to correct the mistake before losing their place in the cue.
  • Expect a minimum 60-day processing timeline.
  • Communicate openly and regularly with the lender and respond quickly to inquiries.
  • Make no assumptions.

The valuation process begins once the short sale package comes under review. The lender verifies the numbers, evaluating the borrower’s ability to pay the mortgage, the property value, and the purchaser’s offer against the total debt amount. If a short sale potentially offsets the loss incurred by a foreclosure, the lender will be more likely to approve it. Sellers who enlist the help and expertise of short sale negotiators or go it alone will need the patience and wherewithal to navigate what can feel like a muddy process.

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A great home in Maple Ridge Estates

Housewarming traditions around the world [infographic]

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Another Positive Report!

april sales

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