Housing Numbers from NAR’s Existing Home Sale Report

orange-county-housing-marketThe National Association of Realtors’ (NAR) September Existing Home Sales Report revealed that sales declined modestly, but inventory continued to tighten and the national median home price recorded its seventh back-to-back monthly increase from a year earlier.

Total existing-home sales fell 1.7% but are 11% above the pace in September 2011.

Other findings revealed in the report:
  • Existing-home price: the national median was $183,900 in September, up 11.3 percent from a year ago.

  • Distressed homes – foreclosures and short sales accounted for 24 percent of September sales (13 percent were foreclosures and 11 percent were short sales), up from 22 percent in August and down from 30 percent in September 2011.

  • Foreclosures sold for an average discount of 21 percent below market value in August.

  • Short sales were discounted 13 percent below market value in August.

  • Housing inventory at the end September fell 3.3 percent which represents a 5.9-month supply at the current sales pace, down from a 6.0-month supply in August. Listed inventory is 20.0 percent below a year ago when there was an 8.1-month supply.

  • Time on market: the median was 70 days in September, unchanged from August, but down 30.7% from 101 days in September 2011.

  • First-time buyers accounted for 32 percent of purchasers in September, compared with 31 percent in August; they were 32 percent in September 2011.

  • All-cash sales were at 28 percent of transactions in September, up from 27 percent in August; they were 30 percent in September 2011. 

  • Investors, who account for most cash sales, purchased 18 percent of homes in September, unchanged from August; they were 19 percent in September 2011.

Single Family Homes and Condominiums and Co-ops

Existing Single-family home sales declined 1.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.21 million in September from 4.29 million in August, but are 10.8 percent higher than the 3.80 million-unit level in September 2011. The median existing single-family home price was $184,300 in September, up 11.4 percent from a year ago.

Existing condominium and co-op sales were unchanged at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 540,000 in September, but are 12.5 percent above the 480,000-unit pace a year ago. The median existing condo price was $181,000 in September, which is 10.0 percent higher than September 2011.

Regional Numbers

Northeast: Existing-home sales fell 6.3 percent to an annual level of 590,000 in September but are 7.3 percent above September 2011. The median price in the Northeast was $238,700, up 4.1 percent from a year ago.

Midwest: Existing-home sales slipped 0.9 percent in September to a pace of 1.10 million but are 19.6 percent higher than a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $145,200, up 7.0 percent from September 2011.

South: Existing-home sales increased 0.5 percent to an annual level of 1.93 million in September and are 14.2 percent above September 2011. The median price in the region was $163,600, up 13.1 percent from a year ago.

West: Existing-home sales fell 3.4 percent to an annual pace of 1.13 million in September but are 0.9 percent above a year ago. With continuing inventory shortages in the region, the median price in the West was $246,300, which is 18.4 percent higher than September 2011.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, commented:

“Despite occasional month-to-month setbacks, we’re experiencing a genuine recovery. More people are attempting to buy homes than are able to qualify for mortgages, and recent price increases are not deterring buyer interest. Rather, inventory shortages are limiting sales, notably in parts of the West.”

Appraisal Challenges [INFOGRAPHIC]

Falling Foreclosures Pushing Up Home Prices

house-arrowupAs foreclosure backlogs have decreased, so have many of the big discounts on home prices. The slowdown in foreclosures is partially behind the recent rise in home prices, some economists say.

“Deeply discounted existing homes have been subject to strong demand from cash buyers and investors looking to lock into housing’s attractive income returns,” says Paul Diggle, a housing economist at Capital Economics. “The supply of such homes, meanwhile, has been dwindling. That has bid up existing house prices, particularly at the lower end of the price spectrum."

The median price of existing homes nationwide was 9.5 higher in August compared to a year ago, and new home prices were up 17 percent in that same time period.

Distressed properties typically sell for big discounts. For example, in 2007 during a nationwide foreclosure surge, foreclosures tended to sell for about a third of the median price of the home. The housing markets with some of the largest price falls tended to have the highest number of distressed home sales.

Lately, foreclosures have been posting big drops. Last month, new foreclosure filings reached a five-year low, according to RealtyTrac, a real estate research firm that tracks foreclosure housing data.

“There is a shortage of inventory — as crazy as it sounds to say that,” says Daren Blomquist, a RealtyTrac spokesman. “In a lot of market there’s less inventory of foreclosed properties than there is demand. You’re hearing about multiple bids for these properties.”

Source: “Foreclosure Slowdown Pushing Home Prices Higher,” NBC News

House Flipping Returns Due To Demand, Inventory Shortage

Trassenheide,_Die_Welt_steht_KopfThe housing market is picking up steam like a freight train, but we’ve unfortunately run into a major roadblock: lack of inventory. Tons of homebuyers are actively searching for their dream home, however their search has turned into more of a journey.

The problem is that a vast majority of homebuyers, especially first-time buyers, prefer move-in ready properties. They’re simply looking for a roof over their head, not an enormous home improvement project. Renters feel exactly the same way and either run from outdated properties or squeeze landlords for a rock bottom price.

Due to high demand, house flipping is making a major comeback with real estate investors scooping up properties left and right. In fact, according to the National Association of REALTORS®, investors purchased 18 percent of houses in the U.S. in August 2012. The properties will either be remodeled and rented, or flipped for profit within a short amount of time.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, stated: “The West and Florida markets are experiencing inventory shortages, which are placing pressure on prices.” To capitalize on such shortages, house flippers are flocking to Florida and the West Coast.

When flipping houses, investors tackle two things first: kitchens and bathrooms. “People buying a house look first at kitchens and baths,” says Kermit Baker, director of the remodeling futures program at the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University. Plus, statistics show that bathroom and kitchen upgrades are one of the best ways to boost interest as well as value.

As house flippers continue to purchase and remodel properties, we can expect the quality of homes for sale to improve. Hopefully higher quality listings will spur more home sales.

source: Fix&FlipNet

Cycle of Foreclosure about to be Broken? [INFOGRAPHIC]

Cycle-of-Foreclosure

A Home’s Worth: Value, Price and Cost: How They Work Together

home puzzleFor homebuyers, determining what a home is worth requires systematic analysis, careful thought, and some guts.

Value

The value of a property is established by the prospective buyer. Market value is an opinion of what a buyer thinks the home is worth, based on how it will be used. Value is calculated based on one’s lifestyle, so it is different for each perspective buyer. For example, a home near public transportation could be more valuable for someone who does not drive than it would be for someone who does. Buyers with children, may consider a home in a particular school district more valuable than another.

Price

Price is what the home should be worth in today’s market. Occasionally, a seller doesn’t price the home right, so what a buyer must do is an analysis to determine the fair market value of the property. This is what the seller should reasonably be asking for. Similar, recently sold properties (six months or less), should be used to establish fair market value. They should be similar in size and upkeep to the property you are considering. Of course, the current condition, location and surroundings, as well as the view from the property, can all affect the price of a house.

Cost

Typically, sellers believe a house is worth what they paid for it, in addition to how much was spent on improvements. In reality, when a seller improves a home, the value of the property is increased, not the cost. Since value is based on the buyer’s preferences, improvements and other extras are all subjective. A seller could receive dissimilar offers from potential buyers because they have made personal decisions about the home’s value. When a homeowner makes improvements, they receive benefits from those choices and if they remain in the property, derive pleasure from that investment. When those improvements are very specific, or personalized, they may not received the monetary benefits they expected.

If you or someone you know is considering buying or selling a home, contact me so that we can analyze the situation together.

Seattle is great place for Gen Y

Gen_YSeattle tops other metropolitan areas for its Gen-Y friendly work environment, according to PayScale, Inc., a provider of on-demand compensation data and software, reports the Puget Sound Business Journal. In partnership with Millennial Branding, a Gen Y research and management consulting company, PayScale released its findings on the state of the Gen Y worker, ages 18 to 29.

The Emerald City is named the best large metro area for Gen Y workers for its strong wage growth (4.4% increase between Q2 2009 and Q2 2012), high median pay ($44,000), and the abundance of tech employers in the area.

The best companies for Gen Y are clearly in the technology arena. Qualcomm, Google, Medtronic, Intel, and Microsoft are ranked as the top 5 firms for Gen Y based on pay, the percentage of Gen Y employees, job satisfaction, stress, and schedule flexibility among other criteria.

PayScale’s study indicates that Gen Y most commonly works in online marketing and social media and is more likely to engage with smaller firms that value entrepreneurship, innovation, social media, and flexibility.

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CoreLogic: falling shadow inventories foreshadow rise in prices

shadow-inventoryReporting for July (the most recent month available), CoreLogic notes that shadow inventory levels are falling across the board, but notes that this is an indicator that housing prices will continue rising.

Shadow inventories on the decline

According to information provider, CoreLogic, the current residential shadow inventory as of July 2012 fell to 2.3 million units, representing a supply of six months, and a 10.2 percent drop from July 2011, when shadow inventory stood at 2.6 million units (approximately the same level the country was experiencing in March 2009).

CoreLogic notes that as of July, the flow of new seriously delinquent (90 days or more) loans into the shadow inventory has been roughly offset by the equal volume of distressed (short and real estate owned) sales.

corelogic figure 1 CoreLogic: falling shadow inventories foreshadow rise in prices

“Yet another hopeful sign”

“Broadly speaking, the shadow inventory continued to shrink in July,” said Anand Nallathambi, president and CEO of CoreLogic. “The reduction is being driven by a variety of resolution approaches. This is yet another hopeful sign that the housing market is slowly healing.”

“The decline in shadow inventory has recently moderated reflecting the lower outflow of distressed sales over the past year,” said Dr. Mark Fleming, Chief Economist for CoreLogic. “While a lower outflow of distressed sales helps alleviate downward home price pressure, long foreclosure timelines in some parts of the country causes these pools of shadow inventory to remain in limbo for an extended period of time.”

corelogic figure 2 CoreLogic: falling shadow inventories foreshadow rise in prices

Digging deeper in to the six months’ supply

As of July 2012, CoreLogic reports that the shadow inventory fell to 2.3 million units, or six-months’ supply, and represented just over three-fourths of the 2.7 million properties currently seriously delinquent, in foreclosure, or in REO.

Of those 2.3 million units, 1.0 million units are seriously delinquent (2.9 months’ supply), fully 900,000 are in some stage of foreclosure (2.5-months’ supply) and 345,000 are already in REO (1.0-months’ supply).

The dollar volume of shadow inventory was $382 billion as of July 2012, down from $397 billion a year ago and $385 billion last month.

corelogic figure 3 CoreLogic: falling shadow inventories foreshadow rise in prices

Regional performances varied

Serious delinquencies, which CoreLogic calls “the main driver of the shadow inventory,” declined the most from April 2012 to July 2012 in Arizona (3.2 percent), Pennsylvania (2.8 percent), New Jersey (2.3 percent), Delaware (2.2 percent), and Maine (2.2 percent).

As of July 2012, Florida, California, Illinois, New York and New Jersey make up 45 percent of all distressed properties in the country.

Note: as of this month, CoreLogic has adjusted the methodology for this report, which they say will improve accuracy. Full details here.

Source: Tara Steele in Economy, News – October 9, 2012

House Prices: Annual Appreciation for Last 25 Years

Prices-Over-25-Years