Proof That Real Estate Is ALWAYS Local: The Truth On Pricing

Case-Schiller released their data today with the bold headline that homes are at 2002 prices. While it may be true for a National average, I wasn’t convinced that our region reflected that statement, so I went looking for the truth.

Below is the chart that Case-Schiller released. It shows that prices have declined back to their 2002 prices.

chart-of-the-day-case-shiller

A closer look regionally would not fully support Case-Schiller’s claims. The MLS data for King County allows us to go back to the end of 2003. Average Sold prices are very close to 2003.

TGChartImage

This (Below) may be the best evidence that we in King County, Seattle and Bellevue are NOT in alignment with the Case-Schiller report. Back in 2002: King average was at $266K / Seattle at $296K / Bellevue at $372K

Zillow 1 

Below shows that in 2012: King is at $329K / Seattle is $387K / Bellevue is $512K

Zillow 2

Taking this same data (below), one could argue that we are more likely back to 2005 prices.

Zillow 3

What do you think? Let me know.

Five strange signs the economy is improving [infographic]

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(via) click image for larger view

Rents On the Rise

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It may be time to pull the trigger and buy that investment property you’ve been considering. The greater Seattle area have several opportunities.

Where the Jobs Are

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click image for interactive map

via cnnmoney.com

Fading ‘Fear Factor’ Among Home Buyers?

fear factorThe real estate market is thawing this spring. Following five years of dismal sales and falling prices, the housing market is starting to see a turnaround, according to housing surveys, agent reports, and economists.

Home buyers are returning to take advantage of record housing affordability while investors are buying up foreclosures in bulk at bargain prices.

"The biggest challenge that we’ve had over the past four years is fear — fear that the economy is collapsing, that property values are collapsing, that the world is coming to an end," Mark Prather, a broker at ERA Buy America Real Estate in La Palma, Calif., told the Associated Press. "The fear factor is all but gone."

The signs are already there: Home sales prices are starting to edge up, even in hard-hit housing areas like Phoenix and Miami. Also, banks are issuing more mortgages. JPMorgan Chase recently reported an uptick in loan applications recently by 33 percent, and the bank said that it issued 6 percent more mortgages from January through March than last year. Wells Fargo reported an 84 percent increase in loan applications and the issuing of 54 percent more mortgages in the last year.

Still, the housing market has some ways to go, with a surge of foreclosures expected to soon hit the market and the unemployment rate still high in many parts of the country.

"This gradual healing is encouraging, but we must tread carefully as the housing market is still far from a robust recovery," Michelle Meyer, an economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, told Reuters News.

Source: “US home-buying season finally signaling a recovery,” The Associated Press (April 15, 2012) and “Close to Bottoming, Home Prices May Rise in 2013,” Reuters (April 12, 2012)

Home Ownership Makes Tax Time Less Taxing

Snoopy dog houseWith the April 17 tax deadline less than a week away, your clients still have time to take advantage of the valuable tax benefits home ownership affords. The National Association of REALTORS®’ consumer site, HouseLogic.com, can help.

“Our government encourages home ownership because it benefits families, communities, and our nation’s economy; home ownership is an investment in our collective futures,” said NAR President Moe Veissi, broker-owner of Veissi & Associates Inc., in Miami. “HouseLogic.com helps home owners identify the benefits that will save them money today and plan ahead for future savings, as well.”

HouseLogic.com provides tips and tools for home owners, and devotes an entire section of its site to tax incentives for the home. NAR members can check out A Home Owner’s Guide to Taxes to find helpful articles they can pass along to their clients, such as 10 Easy Mistakes Home Owners Make on their Taxes, 12 Tough Questions (and Answers) About Home Office Deductions, and 6 Deduction Traps and How to Avoid Them that provide consumers with a wealth of information to ensure they get the maximum return to which they’re entitled.

Tax benefits that encourage home ownership include the mortgage interest deduction, deductions for property taxes, and tax credits for energy-efficient remodeling projects and heating and cooling systems.

Source: NAR

What America Buys

spendingbubbles

To learn more, click image

The U.S. Census: 1940 VS. 2010 [infographic]

1940-Census

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Consumer Attitudes Stabilize, Positivity Spreads

PositivityAmericans’ concerns about key economic and housing issues are beginning to subside, according to results from Fannie Mae’s February 2012 National Housing Survey.

Consumers’ attitudes have stabilized across most indicators—including personal finances, housing, and employment—demonstrating their sense that downside risks have abated somewhat compared to late summer and fall of 2011.

While Americans’ confidence in the direction of the economy has been the most pronounced (35 percent think that the economy is on the right track, up 19 percentage points since November, and 57 percent think the economy is on the wrong track, down 18 percentage points since November), their confidence about personal financial situations, household income, and household expenses, as well as attitudes about homeownership and renting is holding at steady levels.

At the same time, Americans’ concern about losing their job in the next 12 months has stabilized since the late fall, with 76 percent of Americans saying they are not concerned in February 2012, compared to 70 percent in November 2011.

“The pickup in the pace of hiring over the past few months has helped soothe consumer concerns, lifting their moods regarding their personal finances, the direction of the economy, and their views on the housing market,” says Doug Duncan, vice president and chief economist of Fannie Mae. “As a result, we’ve seen more potential for economic upside, creating a more balanced near-term outlook.”

Survey Highlights

The Economy and Household Finances

The rise in confidence in the economy’s direction continued this month, with 35 percent responding that they think the economy is on the right track, a 5 percentage point increase from January. The percentage of respondents who say the economy is on the wrong track dropped to 57 percent, a decline of 6 percentage points.

Only 12 percent think that their personal financial situation will worsen in the next 12 months, a 3 percentage point drop from January and the lowest value in over a year.

Sixteen percent of respondents say their income is significantly lower than it was 12 months ago (down 1 percentage point since January), while 63 percent say it has stayed the same (up 1 percentage point since January).

Thirty-three percent say their expenses have increased significantly over the past 12 months, a 3 percentage point decrease from last month and the lowest level in the past 12 months.

Homeownership and Renting

On average, Americans expect home prices to increase by 0.8 percent over the next 12 months (down slightly since last month).

Twenty-eight percent of respondents expect home prices to increase over the next 12 months (consistent with last month), while 15 percent say they expect home prices to decline (down 1 percentage point since last month). Fifty-three percent say prices will stay the same.

Ten percent of Americans say that mortgage rates will go down in the next 12 months, a 2 percentage point increase from last month.

The percentage of respondents who say it is a good time to sell rose by 3 percentage points to 13 percent, the highest level in over a year, while the percentage of respondents who say it is a good time to buy dropped 1 percentage point to 70 percent this month.

On average, respondents expect home rental prices to increase by 3.5 percent over the next 12 months, a slight increase since January.

Forty-five percent of respondents think that home rental prices will go up, a 2 percentage point increase from last month, while 3 percent expect them to go down, a 2 percentage point decrease from last month and the lowest value in over a year.

Sixty-five percent of respondents say they would buy their next home if they were going to move, up 1 percentage point since last month, while 29 percent say they would rent, down 1 percentage point versus last month.

The most detailed consumer attitudinal survey of its kind, the Fannie Mae National Housing Survey polled 1,003 Americans via live telephone interview to assess their attitudes toward owning and renting a home, mortgage rates, homeownership distress, the economy, household finances, and overall consumer confidence. Homeowners and renters are asked more than 100 questions used to track attitudinal shifts (findings are compared to the same survey conducted monthly beginning June 2010). Fannie Mae conducts this survey and shares monthly and quarterly results so that we may help industry partners and market participants target our collective efforts to stabilize the housing market in the near-term, and provide support in the future.

For more information, visit www.fanniemae.com