Archives for 2012

10 housing markets set for double-digit price gains

home prices

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — Ten hard-hit housing markets will record double-digit price increases through 2013, according to a report Wednesday.

And with mortgage rates low, many house hunters have already started to pounce on bargains, said David Stiff, chief economist at Fiserv, a financial analytics company that prepared the forecast.

"Some markets may have overshot to the downside, and people are jumping in to try to catch the bottom," Stiff said.

Nationwide, home prices will start rebounding late this year and gain an average of 4% a year over the next five years, Fiserv projects.

In a separate report released Wednesday by the National Association of Realtors, the national median home price declined by just 0.4% in the three months ended March 31 compared with the same period in 2011.

About half of the 146 metro-area markets surveyed by NAR showed a price increase, as buyers make inroads into the supply of homes for sale all across the country. National inventory has dropped by 22% compared to a year earlier.

"Given the steadily dwindling supply of inventory and notably higher listing prices that are being negotiated today, prices are expected to show further improvements in the near future," said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist.

Home prices will also be driven higher as banks opt for short sales instead of repossessions. Repossessed homes sell for between 25% and 50% less than comparable homes sold by conventional sellers, according to Daren Blomquist, a spokesman for RealtyTrac, which markets foreclosed properties.

Bank repossessions often go through lengthy foreclosure processes and long periods of vacancy, during which they may deteriorate and lose value.

Mortgage payments at lowest level in decades

Fiserv’s Stiff forecasts that Madera, Calif., will produce the largest home price gain over the next two years. This market bubbled during the housing boom, with the median home price jumping above $300,000, according to the National Association of Home Builders.

Prices have since tumbled 53% off their peak, to about $125,000. Fiserv is projecting a price jump of 21.5% by the end of 2013 with 16.5% of that increase coming next year.

Other double-digit gainers will include Medford, Ore., with a 20.1% rise, Yuma, Ariz., with 16.7%, and Corvallis, Ore., with 11.4%.

20 reasons to switch to Google+ [infographic]

Google’s answer to Facebook recently announced 100 million users. While that’s still nowhere near Facebook’s 800 million, it clearly has a lot to offer its users- especially those who use other Google services. The jury on Google+ remains out, but in this infographic we came up with twenty reasons to switch to it.

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Social Media – A History

SM History

Short Sale vs. Foreclosure – 10 Common Myths Busted

bustedIt’s likely you’ve heard the term “short sale” thrown around quite a bit. But what, exactly, is a short sale?

A short sale is when a bank agrees to accept less than the total amount owed on a mortgage to avoid having to foreclose on the property. This is not a new practice; banks have been doing short sales for years. Only recently, due to the current state of the housing market and economy, has this process become a part of the public consciousness.

To be eligible for a short sale you first have to qualify!

To qualify for a short sale:

  • Your house must be worth less than you owe on it.
  • You must be able to prove that you are the victim of a true financial hardship, such as a decrease in wages, job loss, or medical condition that has altered your ability to make the same income as when the loan was originated. Divorce, estate situations, etc.… also qualify.

Now that you have a basic understanding of what a short sale is, there are some huge misconceptions when it comes to a short sale vs. a foreclosure. We take the most common myths surrounding both short sales and foreclosures and give a brief explanation. LET’S BUST SOME MYTHS!!

1.) If you let your home go to foreclosure you are done with the situation and you can walk away with a clean slate.  The reality is that this couldn’t be any farther from the truth in most situations. You could end up with an IRS tax liability and still owing the bank money. Let me explain. Please keep in mind that if your property does go into foreclosure you may be liable for the difference of what is owed on the property versus what is sells for at auction, in the form of a deficiency balance! Please note this is state specific and in most states you will be liable for the shortfall, but in some states the bank may not always be able to pursue the debt. Check your state law as it varies widely from state to state.

Here is an example of how a deficiency balance works

If you owe $200,000 on the property and it sells at auction for $150,000, you could be liable for the $50,000 difference if your state law allows it.

Not only could you be liable for the difference to the bank, but in some situations you could also be liable to the IRS! Although there are exemptions (mostly for principle residences) under the Mortgage Debt Forgiveness Act, there are times when you could be taxed on both a short sale and a foreclosure, even in a principle residence situation. Since the tax code on this is a little complicated and I am not a CPA, I advise always talking to a CPA when in this situation as you are weighing your options. Hard to believe?  Well, believe it or not, the IRS counts the difference between the sale and the charged off debt as a “gain” on your taxes. That’s right-you lost money and it’s counted as a gain! (I didn’t make that rule, that’s a wonderful brainchild of the IRS). Banks and the IRS can go as far as attaching your wages. Not to mention if you let your home go to foreclosure you will have that on your credit, as well.

Guess What?  A short sale can alleviate your liability to the bank, in most situations. There are also exceptions to this, but in most cases banks are releasing homeowners from the deficiency balance on a short sale.

2.) There are no options to avoid foreclosure. Now more than ever, there are options to avoid foreclosure. Besides a short sale, loan modifications along with deed in lieu are also examples of the many options. In most cases (but not all) a short sale is the best option. Either way, there are more options today than there have ever been to avoid foreclosure.

3.) Banks do not want to participate in a short sale, or, it is too hard to qualify for a short sale. Banks would rather perform a short sale than a foreclosure any day. A foreclosure takes a long time and creates a huge expense for the banks; a short sale saves both time and money. Banks have more foreclosure inventory than ever before, and certainly do not want any more. Banks more than ever welcome short sales. Qualifying for a short sale is easier than you think, you need to have a true financial hardship, or a change in your finances and your house has to be worth less than what you owe on it. Not only do consumers, but banks also now have government incentive to participate in short sales.

4.) Short sales are not that common. At this present time, short sales range from 10-50 % of sales in various markets and it is predicted that in 2012 we will have more short sales than any other year, to date. Due to economic changes in the last few years, this is something that is affecting millions of Americans. Short sales are in every market, and are not just limited to any particular income class. This has affected everyone from all facets of life. A short sale should be looked at as a helpful tool, not a negative stigma. That is why the government is offering programs that actually pay consumers to participate in short sales. It is not just affecting one community; it is affecting communities and consumers across the nation.

5.) The short sale process is too difficult and they often get denied. Though the short sale process is time consuming; it is not as difficult as the media would have you believe. The problem is that most short sales are denied because of a misunderstanding of the process.  It is true that if the short sale process is not followed correctly there is a good chance of getting denied. An experienced agent knows how to avoid this. Short sales require a lot of experience, and a special skill set. If you are looking to go the option of a short sale make sure your agent is skilled and experienced in this area.

6.) Short sales will cost me money out of pocket. A short sale should not cost you any out of pocket money. In fact, you could get between $3000-up to $30,000 to participate in a short sale. In many ways, a short sale may put you in a better financial position than prior to the short sale. Almost every short sale program now has some type of financial incentive for the home owner, as long as it is a principle residence, and we are even seeing relocation money being paid on some investment/second homes. As a seller of a property you should never have to pay for any short sale cost upfront to any professional service. Realtors charge a commission that is paid for by the bank. In most communities there are also non-profits and HUD counselors who can help you with foreclosure prevention options for free. The only potential cost you could incur is if the bank would not release you from a deficiency balance in the short sale, which is happening less and less now.

7.) If I am behind on my payments, I can perform a short sale any time. The farther you get behind on your payments, the harder it is to get a short sale approved. The closer a property gets to a foreclosure the harder it is to convince the bank to perform a short sale. As they get closer to a foreclosure sale more money is spent, thus deterring them from doing a short sale. If you think you need to perform a short sale, time is of the essence; the sooner you start the process, the better. Waiting too long can trigger the ramifications of a foreclosure, losing the ability to do a short sale as a viable option.

8.) I have already been sent a foreclosure notice so I can’t perform a short sale. For the most part just because you received a foreclosure notice or notice of default it does not mean that you do not have time to perform a short sale. The timeline and specifics do vary from state to state, but having done short sales all over the country, I have seen banks postpone a foreclosure to work a short sale option as close as 30 days prior to the scheduled foreclosure auction, but the longer you wait the less chance you have. If you have received a legal foreclosure notice, please reach out to a professional right away. The longer you wait, and the closer you get to foreclosure, the fewer options you have. If you have received a notice to foreclose this means the bank is filing paperwork and starting the process to take legal action to repossess the house. You still have time at this point to prevent foreclosure, but do not hesitate! The closer you get to the foreclosure date the harder it becomes to negotiate with the bank for whichever option you choose.

9.) I was denied for a loan modification, so I know I will get denied for a short sale. Short sales and loan modifications are handled by two separate departments at the bank. These processes are totally different in approval and denial. If you got denied for a modification you can still apply for a short sale; in some cases you can get a short sale approved faster than a loan modification, as some loan modifications are denied because they cannot reduce the loan low enough based on the  consumers income.

10.) If I go through a short sale I cannot buy another house for a long time. The time to buy another house depends on your entire credit picture and can vary from 12-24 months. There are even a few FHA programs that allow for a purchase sooner than that. I have worked with clients who went through a short sale and bought another house in less than 12 months.

These are just a few of the common myths surrounding short sales and foreclosure. With the options available today, no homeowner should ever have to go through foreclosure, and hopefully this information can help a few more homeowners think twice before walking away from their home not realizing the possible long term ramifications a foreclosure can have.

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3.8% Tax Starting in 2013: What Does It Mean?

3.8

The health care legislation enacted in 2013 included a new tax that was designed to affect upper income taxpayers. Understand this tax will not be imposed exclusively on real estate transactions. The tax is NOT a transfer tax on real estate sales and similar transactions.

Rather, when the legislation becomes effective it may entail a 3.8% tax on some (but not all) income from interest, dividends, rents (less expenses) and capital gains (less capital losses). These items are all included in an individual’s adjusted gross income (AGI). The tax will fall only on individuals with an AGI above $200,000 and couples filing a joint return with more than $250,000 AGI

The new tax does NOT eliminate the benefits of the $250,000/$500,000 exclusion on the sale of a principal residence. Thus, ONLY that portion of a gain above those thresholds is included in AGI and could be subject to the tax.

Tax payers should familiarize themselves with the tax. The amount of tax will vary from individual to individual because the elements that comprise AGI differ from taxpayer to taxpayer. Contact me today for a referral to a licensed tax professional.

Home Prices to Rise 4% Per Year?

home pricesHave home prices finally hit bottom? Many analysts think so. According to the latest forecast by Fiserv, the market watcher sees a big boost to home prices on the horizon, projecting that home prices will rise nearly 4 percent per year for the next five years.

The real estate markets expected to see the biggest increases in home prices will likely be those hardest hit the last few years by foreclosures, such as in Phoenix and Las Vegas, and areas where prices have fallen the most, according to Fiserv’s forecast.

Housings rising affordability mixed with falling inventories of for-sale homes are the main factors driving the expected price increases, according to Fiserv.

Initially, investors are expected to help drive most of this price increase, and then followed by first-time and trade-up buyers as they re-emerge in bigger numbers to the market.

If this prediction is correct. A home on the Eastside (Bellevue, Redmond, Kirkland et al) would go from $512,000.00 to $532,480.00, then to $553,779.00 by the year 2014. Not inconsequential numbers to be sure.

Source: “U.S. Home Prices Could Rise 4% a Year, Forecast Says,” USA Today (May 8. 2012)

Housing finds a balance between supply and demand

Although regionally, home prices vary, as a nation, there is little change between this year and last year, with CoreLogic implying price stabilization is the current state of the market.

Healthy_Home_design

Home prices stabilizing

With a 0.6 percent drop in home prices between March 2011 and March 2012 and a 0.6 percent increase in prices from February, CoreLogic’s Home Price Index (HPI) shows that national home prices not only saw the first month-over-month increase since July 2011, the movement up and down is slight, indicating the market has found its bottom. Excluding distressed sales, month-over-month prices increased for the third month in a row. The CoreLogic HPI also shows that year-over-year prices, excluding distressed sales, rose by 0.9 percent in March 2012 compared to March 2011.

“This spring the housing market is responding to an improving balance between real estate supply and demand which is causing stabilization in house prices,” said Dr. Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic. “Although this has been the case in each of the last two years, the difference this year is that stabilization is occurring without the support of tax credits and in spite of a declining share of REO sales.”

“While housing prices remain flat nationally, in many markets tighter inventories are beginning to lift home prices,” said Anand Nallathambi, president and chief executive officer of CoreLogic. “This is true in Phoenix, New York and Washington, for example, which all reflect higher home price values than a year ago. A continuation of this trend will be good for our industry across U.S. markets.”

Regional performances vary

As always, all real estate is local and some states continue to perform extremely well while others continue to decline. Including distressed sales, the states with the highest appreciation were Wyoming (+5.9 percent), West Virginia (+5.3 percent), Arizona (+5.1 percent), North Dakota (+4.7 percent) and Florida (+4.5 percent) and excluding distressed sales, the top performers for March were Idaho (+5.4 percent), North Dakota (+5.1 percent), South Carolina (+4.7 percent), Montana (+3.5 percent) and Kansas (+3.4 percent).

Not everyone had such stellar results, however, as CoreLogic reports that including distressed sales, the states with the greatest depreciation were Delaware (-10.6 percent), Illinois (-8.3 percent), Alabama (-8.0 percent), Georgia (-7.3 percent) and Nevada (-5.8 percent), and excluding distressed sales, the poorest performers were Delaware (-7.6 percent), Alabama (-4.1 percent), Nevada (-3.9 percent), Vermont (-3.9 percent) and Rhode Island (-2.9 percent).

Including distressed transactions, the peak-to-current change in the national HPI (from April 2006 to March 2012) was -33.7 percent. Excluding distressed transactions, the peak-to-current change in the HPI for the same period was -24.5 percent. The five states with the largest peak-to-current declines including distressed transactions are Nevada (-59.9 percent), Arizona (-48.6 percent), Florida (-48.1 percent), Michigan (-45.1 percent) and California (-42.7 percent). Of the top 100 Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) measured by population, 57 are showing year-over-year declines in March, eight fewer than in February.

1 Housing finds a balance between supply and demand
2 Housing finds a balance between supply and demand
3 Housing finds a balance between supply and demand
4 Housing finds a balance between supply and demand

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The Internet of Yesterday vs. Today [infographic]

1996-vs-2011

Short Sales Will Increase Dramatically in 2012

Short-Salesby THE KCM CREW

We believe that short sales will be a major part of the real estate market in 2012. That is why we have dedicated this entire week to posts exclusively on this subject. We hope that by the end of the week you have a better handle on the need for short sales and a better understanding of the process. – the KCM Crew

It seems that the banks have finally realized that a short sale is a better option than foreclosure for them, the homeowner and the neighborhood. It is for this reason we believe that 2012 will come to be known as the year of the short sale.CNN Money reported on this exact point:

“We believe 2012 could be a record year for short sales,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac.

Banks are showing signs of being more open and willing to approve the deals — even if it means accepting less money. The average sales price for a short sale was $174,120 in January, down 4% from December and 10% year-over-year.

Market Watch also addressed the short sale situation recently:

Fitch expects the increase in short sales to continue because of the potential benefits afforded to both lenders and borrowers. Some borrowers may prefer short sales because, though they cannot stay in the property, they often walk away with cash incentives from lenders and healthier credit reports unmarred by foreclosure. For lenders, short sales provide a more efficient and cheaper alternative to the increasingly lengthy and costly foreclosure process.

Why Are the Banks Now Leaning Towards Short Sales?

The simple answer is that the banks lose less money when doing a short sale. The CNN Money article mentioned above explains:

Typically, banks get about 20% less for a foreclosed home. Foreclosure can also take years to unload, during which expenses, like property taxes, insurance and other expenses, mount up.

The Market Watch report breaks it down further:

Short sales…are currently getting completed 20 months after the last payment made on the loan, approximately 10 months less than the average time to foreclose. Shorter timelines reduce lenders’ carrying costs (i.e. accrued loan interest and property taxes, insurance, and maintenance) and eliminate most of the legal expenses associated with foreclosure and liquidation. As a result, loss severities tend to be considerably lower. Historically, for loans with similar attributes, short sales have severities 10%-15% less than REO sales. As the proportion of short sales increases, we expect average loss severities to improve further.

How Many Short Sales Could Be Completed?

JPMorgan has projected that over 500,000 short sales will be done this year. Also,NECN.com recently reported:

RealtyTrac estimates that if the January numbers it found hold up, there would be about 105,000 “pre-foreclosure” sales of homes, most of them short sales, during the first quarter of this year, and at that rate something like 400,000 for the year.

How Long Will Short Sales Be a Major Part of the Market?

The NECN article shows us that short sales are here to stay for some time.

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, there are nearly 3.5 million homeowners delinquent on their mortgages by at least one month, including 1.5 million who are 90 days or more behind on paying their mortgage. And there are 12.5 million homeowners still who are “underwater,” owing more on their mortgage than their home is worth. That suggests that at the current rates, barring some spectacular economic recovery, it would take years, even decades, for short sales alone to clean up the mortgage mess that remains.

Short sales are here to stay. We must accept this fact and work hard to learn the process and apply it where it makes sense.